IT Services:
While early still in 2008, overall trends for the IT Services M&A market are evident. It appears that the first quarter of 2008 will equal the first quarter of 2007 in terms of deal activity, but, as expected, will be slightly lower than that posted in the fourth quarter of 2007. The consistent deal flow is a positive indicator as to the state of the M&A market for the IT Services sector, especially given the substantial changes to the macroeconomic climate and outlook.
Significant discussion has surrounded the "slow down" in the private equity markets, but the majority of the fallout has occurred outside of the middle-market sector. Of the 48 recorded IT services transactions thus far this quarter, five were MBO/LBO situations, the bulk of which were middle-market deals. There are still opportunities for business owners to recapitalize with the assistance of middle-market focused private equity firms and partner with private equity through the next stage of the company's life cycle.
Additionally, there were a number of cross-border transactions involving strategic purchasers in a wide variety of locations, including Canada, Mexico, and France. A total of 14 transactions incorporated either an acquisition by a predominantly offshore/nearshore player or a foreign seller.
The government sector (predominantly federal-based, but also with some state and local focus), which has been the most active sector in the IT Services marketplace in recent years, still boasts the most activity but represents a smaller percentage of the total transactions completed than in recent years. This quarter government deals have represented approximately 22% of aggregate deal activity; in line with last quarter but slightly lower than the first quarter of 2007. Of particular note is the size of the deals, with fewer large transactions announced than in recent years. This is due in large part to the massive consolidation of the larger players that occurred between 2002 and 2006.
Other areas of notable activity were the ERP space where there is substantial interest in SAP and Oracle services providers and the MSP space, particularly in the area of security.
Staffing/Human Resourcings Outsourcing:
The Childs Company Public Company Stock Staffing Index fell 7% in Q1. There were approximately 29 M&A transactions in Q1 2008 vs. 43 in Q1 2007. Notable deals included Randstad acquiring Vedior for $5.8 billion and Allegis Group buying Major Lindsay and Africa, a well known legal placement firm.
The segment indices performed as follows:
- Healthcare
- Professional/IT
- Commercial/Light industrial
At the Staffing Industry Executive Forum, the outlook remained cautiously optimistic for staffing companies with healthcare and professional leading the way and commercial/industrial expectations lagging for 2008. We believe that additional consolidation will occur as large staffing clients continue reducing vendor lists and employing vendor management systems. A softening economy could possibly accelerate this trend.
ARM & Teleservices:
While ARM and Teleservices business have experienced a tremendous erosion of stockholder equity in recent months, current conditions may lead to a sustained bounce-back in the industries. Particularly, leading indicators for the ARM industry such as non-current loans, total consumer debt and charge-off rates at the major creditors suggest an explosion of accounts entering the ARM industry. For an in depth analysis including the ARM Industry Index, the Teleservices Industry Index and recent transactions in the ARM and Teleservices industries, please visit our web site for our ARM and Teleservices Quarterly Review.
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